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IPO activity remains low but possible green shoots emerging

The challenging economic environment continues to weigh heavily on the market for initial public offerings (IPOs) so far in 2024, with higher interest rates and persistent inflation restricting listing activity. Despite record rises in the Australian share market, there has been just 13 listings in the first six months to June 2024, one fewer than in the same period last year. This follows a lacklustre year for IPOs in 2023, when the total funds raised from ASX listings was $847 million, the first time since 2012 where the total amounts raised did not exceed $1 billion.


Report summary

  • Just 13 new listings on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) in the first six months to June 2024, one fewer than in the same period last year.
  • Total funds raised in the first six months of 2024 were $809.5 million, an increase of 440% compared to the same period last year ($149.9 million).
  • While there were only three large cap* listings during the first half of 2024, this included two companies with a market capitalisation exceeding $1 billion at listing, contributing $660.1 million in total funds raised.
  • During the first half of 2024, six industry sectors contributed new listings during the period, up from three sectors in the first half of 2023. Materials listings dominated, comprising seven of the 13 listings in the period.
  • The average first day gain across all new listings was 32% for the first six months of 2024, compared to the average first day gain of just 6% for the full 12 months of 2023.
  • Encouragingly, new IPOs performed well relative to the wider share market, with the ASX All Ordinaries closing just above 8,013 at the end of the period.

 

The 2024 IPO Watch Australia Mid-Year Report includes commentary and data analysis on share price performance, sector analysis, IPO subscription rates, a review of activity for the first two quarters of the year, and the market outlook for the remainder of the year.

* Large cap companies are defined as those with a market capitalisation in excess of $100 million. Small cap, companies are defined as those with a market capitalisation of $100 million or less. All data excludes property trusts. 

IPO Watch Australia Mid-Year Report

A snapshot of Australia's recent listing activity

Download the report

Australia's 2024 IPO outlook

As of 30 June 2024, there are four upcoming listings registered with the ASX, seeking $111 million in initial capital. This excludes Alcoa Corporation, which is not raising any capital as part of its listing for the issue of CHESS Depositary Interests (CDIs) related to its acquisition of Alumina Limited.

Three of the four upcoming listings are exploration companies with projects in Western Australia and Brazil.

Within Australia, the economic outlook does not appear likely to improve dramatically in the coming months, given ongoing uncertainty regarding the direction of interest rates and macroeconomic conditions. Whilst there has been an uptick in pre-IPO activity, this has not yet been reflected in IPO volumes on the ASX.

"Uncertainty persists regarding a recovery in the IPO market. However, there are positive signs, with the two large IPOs of the period being fully or oversubscribed, highlighting that there is investor appetite for quality businesses listing on the ASX."
Marcus Ohm
Corporate & Audit Services Partner

Key findings

A challenging year for IPOs

Total funds raised in the first half of 2024 were $809.5 million, an increase of 440% compared to the same period last year ($149.9 million). While there were only three large cap listings during the period, these listings included two companies with a market cap exceeding $1 billion at listing, which contributed $660.1 million in total funds raised.

Materials company Metals Acquisition Limited (ASX: MAC) listed in February, raising a total of $325 million, and the period ended with the June listing of Guzman y Gomez Limited (ASX: GYG), raising $335 million.

Wider sector representation

Six industry sectors contributed new listings in the first half of 2024, marking an increase from three sectors in the first half of 2023. Materials listings continued to dominate, comprising seven of the 13 listings in the period. Other than Capital Goods, which recorded one small cap and one large cap new entrant, the remaining sectors each recorded only a single listing.

All six sectors recorded a first day gain on average. Both the Materials and Diversified Financials sectors recorded average first day gains of 40% across all listings, followed by Consumer Services.

A decline for Materials listings

Against the backdrop of a challenging market for new entrants, 10 of the 13 listings in the first half of 2024 achieved their targeted subscription amount. This marks a decline compared to the previous half year period, during which 13 of 14 listings achieved full subscriptions by 30 June 2023.

The new entrants which failed to achieve their subscription targets were small mining exploration entities with a market cap on listing of below $25 million, reflecting ongoing difficult conditions in the junior sector.

Share price performance remains steady

The share price performance of new listings during the period was generally positive. The average first day gain across all new listings was 32%, compared to the average first day gain of just 6% in 2023. By the end of June, the average increase over the listing price was 13%, compared to an average year end loss of 10% in the prior year.

Ten listings achieved a first day gain with one new market entrant, Alfabs Australia Limited (ASX: AAL), which listed on 30 June 2024, closing flat against its issue price.

Sustaining the first day gains was a challenge for most of the new listings. Five new market entrants recorded a first day and period end gain. Sun Silver Limited (ASX: SS1) was the best performing listing of the period, recording a first day gain of 113%, which rose to 160% at 30 June 2024. No other listing in the period recorded a gain over 100% at the close of day one or period end.

About IPO Watch Australia

First published in 2004, IPO Watch Australia is a benchmarking-based report. The research analyses Australian listing activity. The primary report is released in January, and it explores IPO activity over the previous 12-month period. The Mid-Year Report is a short-form report published in July and it focuses on market activity for the first six months of the year. The reports are authored by Marcus Ohm, a corporate & audit services partner from HLB Mann Judd Perth.

About HLB Mann Judd

We are an association of award-winning accounting and advisory firms in Australia, New Zealand and Fiji. Our firms currently audit over six percent of all ASX-listed companies and 10 percent of all ASX-listed resources companies in Australia. In addition to audit-related services, HLB Mann Judd provides a broad range of advisory and tax services. We can assist with the preparation for an IPO and in evaluating the benefits of an IPO against alternative strategic options.

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